ZCZC HFOTCMCP1 ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062019
0300 UTC WED JUL 31 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 145.4W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  50SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 145.4W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 144.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 14.5N 147.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 15.1N 149.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 15.6N 151.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.1N 154.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.1N 158.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 18.6N 163.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.0N 166.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 145.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
 
 
NNNN