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HURRICANE ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062019
0900 UTC TUE JUL 30 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 141.4W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE  10SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 110SE  90SW 170NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 141.4W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 140.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.5N 143.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 14.3N 145.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 14.9N 147.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.4N 149.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.2N 154.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 17.0N 158.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.0N 162.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 141.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON
 
 
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