ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM NESTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019
0300 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NESTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 27(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 20(20) 13(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 14(14) 17(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 18(18) 15(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 28(29) 4(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 29(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 1( 1) 25(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FLORENCE SC 34 X 2( 2) 21(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 1( 1) 30(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 29(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 2( 2) 26(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 4( 4) 21(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 1 12(13) 11(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AUGUSTA GA 34 1 11(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
SAVANNAH GA 34 1 20(21) 4(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
KINGS BAY GA 34 3 12(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
WAYCROSS GA 34 6 36(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 3 9(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
JACKSONVILLE 34 4 11(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 12 8(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
THE VILLAGES 34 8 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ORLANDO FL 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PATRICK AFB 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
VENICE FL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TAMPA FL 34 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 26 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 80 12(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 10 15(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ST MARKS FL 34 84 8(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
ST MARKS FL 50 12 16(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
ST MARKS FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
APALACHICOLA 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
APALACHICOLA 50 34 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
APALACHICOLA 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 19 X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 90 X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
COLUMBUS GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: