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TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019
2100 UTC SUN AUG 25 2019
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 7(20)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 12(30)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 7(26)
CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) 11(41)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10)
PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 34(36) 6(42)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15)
SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 13(30) 1(31)
PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7)
AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 17(28) X(28)
AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 7(19) X(19)
SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 7(35) X(35)
VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 4(25) X(25)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 3(34) X(34)
SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 1(14) X(14)
SABA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 1(19) X(19)
SABA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 1(19) X(19)
ST EUSTATIUS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 13(18) 1(19) X(19)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 1(15) X(15)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 8(20) X(20) X(20)
GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AVES 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 45(62) X(62) X(62)
AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) X(27) X(27)
AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
DOMINICA 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 27(32) 5(37) X(37) X(37)
DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MARTINIQUE 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 35(49) 3(52) X(52) X(52)
MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X 1( 1) 34(35) 35(70) 2(72) X(72) X(72)
SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 22(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31)
SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAINT VINCENT 34 X 1( 1) 32(33) 27(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61)
SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 16(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BARBADOS 34 X 8( 8) 63(71) 3(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
BARBADOS 50 X 1( 1) 28(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
BARBADOS 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GRENADA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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