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HURRICANE WILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP242018
2100 UTC MON OCT 22 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN... INCLUDING LAS ISLAS MARIAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PLAYA PERULA TO SAN BLAS
* NORTH OF MAZATLAN TO BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COASTS OF WEST-CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WILLA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 107.2W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  929 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 107.2W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 107.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.7N 107.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 22.0N 106.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 23.9N 104.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 26.2N 101.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 107.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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