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HURRICANE ROSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018
0900 UTC FRI SEP 28 2018
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ROSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125
KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
OXNARD CA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SANTA CRUZ IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
LONG BEACH/LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
S CATALINA IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13)
YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17)
TIJUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13)
ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 7(23)
ENSENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
ENSENADA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
IS GUADALUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 25(32) 1(33)
IS GUADALUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10)
IS GUADALUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 34(45) 1(46)
PUNTA EUGENIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 1(15)
PUNTA EUGENIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 13(21) 1(22)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 10(22)
P PENASCO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
ISLA CLARION 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
15N 115W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 115W 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) 4(29) X(29)
25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
15N 120W 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 120W 34 1 12(13) 61(74) 4(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79)
20N 120W 50 X 1( 1) 24(25) 5(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31)
20N 120W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
25N 120W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 33(41) 3(44) X(44)
25N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11)
25N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
30N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
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