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HURRICANE ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202018
2100 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
ROSA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 118.1W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 270SE 240SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 118.1W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 118.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.5N 117.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 28.1N 116.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 29.9N 115.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  70SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.3N 113.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 37.0N 112.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 118.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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