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HURRICANE LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP142018
1500 UTC TUE AUG 21 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAWAII COUNTY AND MAUI
COUNTY.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI... LANAI... MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
*HAWAII COUNTY
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... 
CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...AND ACROSS THE
NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE LANE. ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 152.3W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE  35SW  70NW.
34 KT.......110NE  85SE  85SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 152.3W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 151.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 14.4N 153.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  70NW.
34 KT...110NE  85SE  85SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.0N 154.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.9N 155.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.0N 156.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.7N 157.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 21.5N 159.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 21.5N 163.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 152.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
 
 
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