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Tropical Depression Emilia Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062018
800 AM PDT Sat Jun 30 2018
Emilia's cloud pattern has degenerated significantly this morning
and it now consists of a swirl of low clouds with a small patch of
convection well removed from the center. The initial intensity has
been adjusted downward to 30 kt, and given that the circulation is
already moving over cool waters, additional weakening is forecast.
Emilia is expected to become a remnant low later today, although the
system could still generate intermittent patches of convection.
The initial motion is toward the west-northwest or 295 degrees at
10 kt. The depression or its remnants should continue on the same
general track steered by the low-level flow until dissipation in a
few days.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 30/1500Z 17.7N 119.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 01/0000Z 18.3N 120.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 01/1200Z 19.0N 122.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 02/0000Z 19.9N 124.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 02/1200Z 21.0N 126.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Avila
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