ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018
2100 UTC MON JUN 11 2018
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105
KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 16(25) 15(40) 1(41)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 14(23) 14(37) 1(38)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 15(25) 2(27)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11)
CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 8(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) X(11)
SAN BLAS 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14)
P VALLARTA 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15)
15N 105W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
MANZANILLO 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
15N 110W 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
20N 110W 34 1 8( 9) 28(37) 24(61) 10(71) 1(72) X(72)
20N 110W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 11(27) X(27) X(27)
20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 4( 5) 13(18) 11(29) 5(34) 1(35) X(35)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: