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Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012018
200 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018
The prevailing strong westerly wind shear removed all the convection
from the depression, which now consists of a tight swirl of low
clouds. Since the swirl is becoming less defined on satellite, the
initial intensity has been lowered to 25 kt, with some possible
higher gusts. Isolated and intermittent bursts of convection could
still occur, but given the hostile environment, the NHC forecast
calls for the depression to become a remnant low tonight.
None the intensity guidance suggest reintensification of this
system.
The depression is moving toward the west-northwest at about 3 kt
embedded within a light steering flow. This slow general motion
is expected to continue until dissipation.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 11/2100Z 12.8N 129.5W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 12/0600Z 13.2N 130.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 12/1800Z 14.0N 130.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Avila
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