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Tropical Depression ONE-E


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Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012018
200 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018

The prevailing strong westerly wind shear removed all the convection
from the depression, which now consists of a tight swirl of low
clouds. Since the swirl is becoming less defined on satellite, the
initial intensity has been lowered to 25 kt, with some possible
higher gusts. Isolated and intermittent bursts of convection could
still occur, but given the hostile environment, the NHC forecast
calls for the depression to become a remnant low tonight.
None the intensity guidance suggest reintensification of this
system.

The depression is moving toward the west-northwest at about 3 kt
embedded within a light steering flow. This slow general motion
is expected to continue until dissipation.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  11/2100Z 12.8N 129.5W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  12/0600Z 13.2N 130.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  12/1800Z 14.0N 130.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  13/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Avila

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