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HURRICANE WALAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012018
0900 UTC WED OCT 03 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ATOLL
* PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS TO MARO REEF
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 170.0W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  946 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 100SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..320NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 170.0W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 170.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.4N 169.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 23.9N 167.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 27.5N 167.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 29.9N 167.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.5N 165.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 41.5N 158.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 51.0N 146.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 170.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON
 
 
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