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HURRICANE WALAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012018
1500 UTC TUE OCT 02 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ATOLL
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 170.0W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  927 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 55NE  50SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT.......160NE 110SE  75SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..260NE 250SE 320SW 320NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 170.0W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 170.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.2N 170.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE  75SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 169.7W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 65NE  55SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.3N 168.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 65NE  55SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.2N 167.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 30.5N 168.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 33.0N 164.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 41.0N 157.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 170.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA
 
 
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