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TROPICAL STORM WALAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012018
0900 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS ON JOHNSTON ATOLL SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
WALAKA... AND A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WALAKA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 162.1W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  20SE   0SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..185NE 120SE  30SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 162.1W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 161.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 11.8N 164.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  45SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 12.1N 166.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  35SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.8N 168.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.0N 169.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.9N 169.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE  90SW 105NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 24.5N 167.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 30.5N 167.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 162.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA
 
 
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