ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM KIRK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122018               
1500 UTC THU SEP 27 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIRK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SAINT CROIX    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BARBUDA        34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ANTIGUA        34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GUADELOUPE     34  3   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
AVES           34  X  13(13)  12(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
DOMINICA       34 15  20(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
MARTINIQUE     34 38  23(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
MARTINIQUE     50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAINT LUCIA    34 24  18(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 
SAINT VINCENT  34  4   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
BARBADOS       34 33   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
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