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HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018
0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF FLORENCE.  STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WATCHES ARE
LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS ON TUESDAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  62.4W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  944 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  62.4W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  61.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.9N  67.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.6N  70.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.3N  73.2W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 34.0N  76.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 35.5N  78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 36.5N  79.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N  62.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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