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TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022018
1500 UTC SAT JUL 07 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR DOMINICA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE... GUADELOUPE... ST. MARTIN... AND ST. BARTHELEMY
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF BERYL... AS ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE
REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  51.1W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  15SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  51.1W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  50.4W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 12.6N  52.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 13.6N  56.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.8N  59.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.9N  63.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.3N  71.7W...INLAND OVER HISPANIOLA
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N  51.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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