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Tropical Storm MAX


ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Max Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162017
400 AM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017

...MAX EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER
TODAY...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 100.5W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Punta Maldonado

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Punta Maldonado

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case in the next 6 to 12 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Max was
located by satellite and radar from Mexico near latitude 16.6
North, longitude 100.5 West. Max is moving toward the east-northeast
near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to
continue today. On the forecast track, the core of Max will make
landfall within the warning area later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Max could become a little stronger as it approaches the
coast, but rapid weakening is anticipated one it moves
inland.

Max is a small cyclone and tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Max is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 5 to 10 inches in the Mexican state of Guerrero and western
portions of the state of Oaxaca. Maximum amounts locally in excess
of 20 inches are possible over coastal areas of Guerrero. These
torrential rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin soon within
the warning area, with hurricane conditions possible later today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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