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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082017
0900 UTC WED JUL 19 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 120.8W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 120.8W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 120.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.3N 121.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 13.8N 122.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 13.3N 122.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.9N 123.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.2N 124.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 120.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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