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HURRICANE FERNANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
0900 UTC MON JUL 17 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FERNANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 130W       34 65   1(66)   1(67)   X(67)   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)

15N 135W       34  1  11(12)  35(47)  10(57)   3(60)   X(60)   X(60)
15N 135W       50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)
15N 135W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   9(19)   1(20)   X(20)

15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   6(14)   1(15)

20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  13(23)   X(23)
20N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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