ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE FERNANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017               
0900 UTC SAT JUL 15 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FERNANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.                                       
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 125W       34  2  25(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
15N 125W       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
10N 130W       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  43(47)   6(53)   X(53)   X(53)
15N 130W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)
15N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
10N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  72(75)   9(84)   X(84)
15N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  44(44)  11(55)   X(55)
15N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  27(27)   7(34)   X(34)
 
20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   1(12)
20N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
20N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)  10(30)
15N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)
15N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  14(22)
20N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
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