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Tropical Depression FOURTEEN


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142017
0900 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  27.3W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  27.3W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  26.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 11.0N  28.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 11.1N  30.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 11.2N  31.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 11.3N  32.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 12.2N  35.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 13.5N  40.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 15.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N  27.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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