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Hurricane JOSE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
0900 UTC TUE SEP 12 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS
...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)

SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)

FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)

ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   4(16)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   2(10)

GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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