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Hurricane JOSE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
0300 UTC MON SEP 11 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100
KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)

ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)
GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

SAN SALVADOR   34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   7( 9)  18(27)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

MAYAGUANA      34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   8(12)  11(23)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

GRAND TURK     34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   3( 6)  10(16)   7(23)
GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)

$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
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