ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115
KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 6(11) 21(32)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
MAYAGUANA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 11(20) 15(35)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GRAND TURK 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 5(12) 17(29) 13(42)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 5( 8) 6(14)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
AGUADILLA PR 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
SAN JUAN PR 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
NNNN