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Tropical Storm JOSE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC WED SEP 06 2017

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PONCE PR       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)

AGUADILLA PR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

SAN JUAN PR    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)

VIEQUES PR     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   4(15)
SAINT THOMAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
SAINT THOMAS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)
SAINT CROIX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  21(26)   3(29)
SAINT MAARTEN  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   2(12)
SAINT MAARTEN  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  16(23)   2(25)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  26(41)   2(43)
BARBUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  17(20)   1(21)
BARBUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   1(11)

ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  18(33)   1(34)
ANTIGUA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   1(16)
ANTIGUA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)  11(28)   X(28)
GUADELOUPE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   X(10)
GUADELOUPE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)

DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   5(17)   1(18)
DOMINICA       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
DOMINICA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   3(13)   1(14)

SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)

SAINT VINCENT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

BARBADOS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

$$
FORECASTERS CARBIN/BANN/LAMERS
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