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Tropical Storm HARVEY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  39           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017               
0300 UTC WED AUG 30 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MOBILE AL      34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  2   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
STENNIS MS     34  4   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BURAS LA       34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
JACKSON MS     34  1   3( 4)  11(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  9   2(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34 13   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34 21   7(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34 29   3(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34 13  13(26)   3(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34 50  11(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34 52   8(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FORT POLK LA   34 16   6(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34 54   3(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
LAKE CHARLES   50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CAMERON LA     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CAMERON LA     50  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
JASPER TX      34  8   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34 10   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 26   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  9   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 32   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
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