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Potential Tropical Cyclone NINE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017
1500 UTC THU AUG 17 2017

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

FRONTERA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

MERIDA MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)

BELIZE CITY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)
BELIZE CITY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
BELIZE CITY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)

GUANAJA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  26(31)
GUANAJA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
GUANAJA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   7(19)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

BLUEFIELDS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

SAN ANDRES     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   2(11)

PT GALLINAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)
PT GALLINAS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CURACAO        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   4(13)

MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   1(13)

KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  12(16)   X(16)
KINGSTON       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PONCE PR       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

AGUADILLA PR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAN JUAN PR    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

VIEQUES PR     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

AVES           34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

DOMINICA       34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

MARTINIQUE     34  X   2( 2)  11(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

SAINT LUCIA    34  X   5( 5)  21(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)

SAINT VINCENT  34  X   4( 4)  22(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
SAINT VINCENT  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BARBADOS       34  X  19(19)   4(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

GRENADA        34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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