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TROPICAL STORM ULIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192016
2100 UTC TUE SEP 27 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 139.6W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 139.6W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 139.8W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.5N 139.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 14.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.4N 139.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.1N 139.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.0N 142.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.5N 145.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 17.5N 149.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 139.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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