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TROPICAL STORM NEWTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152016
0300 UTC MON SEP 05 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS UPGRADED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM LA PAZ TO SANTA FE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO
FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO
TO LORETO...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO
FROM MAZATLAN TO HUATABAMPITO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO
* NORTH OF SANTA FE TO CABO SAN LAZARO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO
* NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
* MAZATLAN TO HUATABAMPITO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 
OR
DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 
THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 105.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 105.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 105.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.4N 106.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.2N 108.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.3N 109.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 170SE  70SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.7N 110.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 29.9N 111.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 34.5N 109.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 105.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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