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TROPICAL STORM KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122016
0300 UTC SUN AUG 21 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 113.3W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 113.3W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 113.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  20SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.5N 115.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.0N 116.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.5N 117.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.4N 120.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 23.5N 123.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 113.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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