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TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016
1500 UTC SUN JUL 17 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 111.8W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 111.8W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 111.4W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 16.6N 112.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.2N 114.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.6N 116.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.9N 118.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.2N 122.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 19.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 20.8N 132.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 111.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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