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TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
2100 UTC THU SEP 22 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  63.2W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  60SE  30SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  63.2W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  62.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.8N  64.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 28.8N  65.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  50SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.8N  64.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 32.7N  61.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 39.7N  47.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 180SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 49.0N  29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N  63.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CAMPBELL/RUBIN-OSTER/BERG


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