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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016               
1500 UTC MON SEP 05 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS LOCATED    
NEAR LATITUDE 38.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                    
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   X(10)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   5(10)   6(16)   X(16)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  1   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   4(11)   3(14)   X(14)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  2   6( 8)   2(10)   2(12)   2(14)   1(15)   X(15)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  8   7(15)   3(18)   3(21)   4(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
CONCORD NH     34 10  10(20)   3(23)   3(26)   3(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
PORTSMOUTH NH  34 13  11(24)   4(28)   4(32)   3(35)   X(35)   X(35)
PORTSMOUTH NH  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
WORCESTER MA   34 21  16(37)   5(42)   3(45)   3(48)   X(48)   X(48)
WORCESTER MA   50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 17  17(34)   4(38)   2(40)   3(43)   X(43)   X(43)
SPRINGFIELD MA 50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BOSTON MA      34 24  14(38)   5(43)   4(47)   4(51)   X(51)   X(51)
BOSTON MA      50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HYANNIS MA     34 49  12(61)   3(64)   3(67)   3(70)   X(70)   X(70)
HYANNIS MA     50  3   9(12)   3(15)   2(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)
HYANNIS MA     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 66   9(75)   2(77)   2(79)   2(81)   X(81)   X(81)
NANTUCKET MA   50 13  13(26)   2(28)   1(29)   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34 39  17(56)   4(60)   3(63)   3(66)   X(66)   X(66)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  2   8(10)   3(13)   2(15)   1(16)   1(17)   X(17)
PROVIDENCE RI  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
BRIDGEPORT CT  34 20  20(40)   5(45)   2(47)   3(50)   1(51)   X(51)
BRIDGEPORT CT  50  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NEW HAVEN CT   34 23  20(43)   5(48)   2(50)   4(54)   X(54)   X(54)
NEW HAVEN CT   50  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
HARTFORD CT    34 20  20(40)   4(44)   3(47)   3(50)   X(50)   X(50)
HARTFORD CT    50  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEW LONDON CT  34 35  20(55)   5(60)   3(63)   2(65)   X(65)   X(65)
NEW LONDON CT  50  2   9(11)   3(14)   2(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
NEW LONDON CT  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
ALBANY NY      34  6   9(15)   4(19)   1(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
POUGHKEEPSIE   34 10  13(23)   4(27)   2(29)   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34 46  19(65)   4(69)   2(71)   2(73)   X(73)   X(73)
MONTAUK POINT  50  3  16(19)   4(23)   2(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)
MONTAUK POINT  64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLIP NY       34 23  22(45)   5(50)   2(52)   3(55)   X(55)   X(55)
ISLIP NY       50  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 16  17(33)   5(38)   2(40)   2(42)   X(42)   X(42)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 14  15(29)   5(34)   1(35)   2(37)   X(37)   X(37)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEWARK NJ      34 12  14(26)   4(30)   1(31)   3(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  8  11(19)   3(22)   1(23)   3(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
NWS EARLE NJ   34 13  14(27)   4(31)   1(32)   3(35)   X(35)   X(35)
NWS EARLE NJ   50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ALLENTOWN PA   34  4   9(13)   2(15)   1(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
PHILADELPHIA   34  6   9(15)   3(18)   1(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  9  12(21)   3(24)   1(25)   3(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  1   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
DOVER DE       34  4   8(12)   2(14)   1(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAPE HENLOPEN  34  6   7(13)   3(16)   1(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  5   7(12)   2(14)   1(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
PAX RIVER NAS  34  1   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  3   5( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
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