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SUBTROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012016
0900 UTC THU JAN 14 2016

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ALEX.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  29.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 100SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  29.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  29.6W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.4N  28.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.4N  27.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 190SE 120SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 42.0N  28.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...130NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...360NE 240SE  90SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 49.1N  29.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...360NE 240SE  90SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 60.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE   0SE   0SW 150NW.
34 KT...420NE 360SE 120SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N  29.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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