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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192015
200 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2015

...DEPRESSION GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 126.2W
ABOUT 1420 MI...2285 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Nineteen-E was located near latitude 9.5 North, longitude 126.2
West. The depression is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24
km/h), and this motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected
through Saturday.  A turn toward the west-northwest is expected by
Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Strengthening is forecast, and the depression is
expected to become a tropical storm tonight and a hurricane on
Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain

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