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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
100 AM CDT SAT JUN 13 2015

...CARLOS NEARLY STATIONARY AGAIN...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 100.1W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Acapulco to Punta San Telmo

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36-48 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the southwest coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of Carlos.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was
located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 100.1 West.  Carlos has
been nearly stationary during the past few hours, but a drift toward
the north or northwest is anticipated later today. A slow motion
toward the west-northwest is expected later today and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and
Carlos is expected to become a hurricane by Sunday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
by Saturday night.

RAINFALL:  Locally heavy rains are beginning to spread over portions
of the southern coast of Mexico, primarily in the states of Oaxaca
and Guerrero, and will continue to affect these areas during the
next couple of days.

SURF:  Swells associated with Carlos will affect the coast of
southern Mexico during the next few days.  These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from
your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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