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HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122015
2100 UTC WED NOV 11 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N  56.4W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  38 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 210SE 180SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 210SE 300SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N  56.4W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.6N  58.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 40.1N  52.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 41.5N  48.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
34 KT...360NE 420SE 180SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 42.2N  45.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
34 KT...480NE 480SE 150SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 43.9N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
34 KT...480NE 480SE 100SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 51.9N  25.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 480SE 180SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 57.7N  13.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N  56.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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