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TROPICAL STORM DANNY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
0300 UTC SUN AUG 23 2015
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 7(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
BARBUDA 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
ANTIGUA 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 3(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GUADELOUPE 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
AVES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOMINICA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
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FORECASTER BROWN
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