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HURRICANE DANNY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
1500 UTC SAT AUG 22 2015
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 3(17) 1(18)
PONCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 4(20) X(20)
SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
SAN JUAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 2(23) X(23)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 2(22) X(22)
SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 19(29) 1(30) X(30)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 14(30) 1(31) X(31)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 10(35) 1(36) X(36)
BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 8(34) 1(35) X(35)
ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 4(26) X(26) X(26)
GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) X(11)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11)
DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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