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Tropical Storm DANNY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM DANNY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042015               
1500 UTC WED AUG 19 2015                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
PONCE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
PONCE          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SAN JUAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
 
SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)
SAINT THOMAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)
SAINT CROIX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
SAINT CROIX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)
SAINT MAARTEN  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
SAINT MAARTEN  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  17(20)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  18(23)
BARBUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
BARBUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  18(23)
ANTIGUA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
ANTIGUA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  18(23)
GUADELOUPE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
GUADELOUPE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)
AVES           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
AVES           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  16(21)
DOMINICA       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
DOMINICA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  14(19)
MARTINIQUE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
MARTINIQUE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  12(17)
SAINT LUCIA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
SAINT LUCIA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
SAINT VINCENT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)
SAINT VINCENT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
SAINT VINCENT  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
BARBADOS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   9(17)
BARBADOS       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
BARBADOS       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
GRENADA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
 
TRINIDADTOBAGO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
PORT OF SPAIN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
JUANGRIEGO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN                                               
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