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Tropical Storm DANNY


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TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042015
1500 UTC SUN AUG 23 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...
CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR GUADELOUPE...ST. BARTHELEMY...AND ST. MARTIN.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  57.3W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  57.3W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  56.7W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.0N  59.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.5N  61.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.0N  64.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.5N  67.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.2N  72.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 21.0N  76.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  57.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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