Hurricane JULIO

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HURRICANE JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102014
2100 UTC THU AUG 07 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JULIO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 137.7W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 137.7W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 137.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.5N 140.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.1N 143.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.8N 146.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.8N 148.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.0N 154.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 24.0N 159.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 24.5N 163.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 137.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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