Tropical Storm ELIDA

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TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052014
1500 UTC TUE JUL 01 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ADJUSTED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING...WHICH NOW EXTENDS FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO
MANZANILLO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 104.3W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 104.3W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 104.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 104.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.1N 104.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.0N 104.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.0N 104.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.0N 106.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 17.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 17.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 104.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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