Hurricane GONZALO
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
0300 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 49(51) 19(70)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 15(36)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GRAND TURK 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PONCE 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAN JUAN 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAINT THOMAS 34 15 2(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
SAINT CROIX 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BARBUDA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
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FORECASTER BRENNAN
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