Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL

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TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0300 UTC MON AUG 25 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  73.1W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  73.1W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  73.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.4N  73.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.4N  72.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 27.8N  72.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.8N  71.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.5N  69.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 37.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 44.0N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N  73.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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