Tropical Storm GABRIELLE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072013               
2100 UTC WED SEP 11 2013                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       1       5       4       5      12      NA      NA
TROP DEPRESSION 34      32      24      18      30      NA      NA
TROPICAL STORM  65      61      66      66      52      NA      NA
HURRICANE        X       2       6      11       6      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        X       2       6      10       5      NA      NA
HUR CAT 2        X       X       1       1       1      NA      NA
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X      NA      NA
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X      NA      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   35KT    35KT    40KT    45KT    40KT    NA      NA  
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)   X(24)   X(24)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  39(39)   X(39)   X(39)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  41(41)   X(41)   X(41)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  45(47)   X(47)   X(47)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  46(46)   X(46)   X(46)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  32(36)   X(36)   X(36)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  30(37)   X(37)   X(37)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   5(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  5   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN                                                  
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