Tropical Storm GABRIELLE
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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013
2100 UTC TUE SEP 10 2013
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 1 1 3 4 11 NA
TROP DEPRESSION 1 5 8 11 14 20 NA
TROPICAL STORM 86 75 69 64 60 57 NA
HURRICANE 14 20 22 23 22 12 NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 13 19 20 19 19 11 NA
HUR CAT 2 X 1 3 3 2 1 NA
HUR CAT 3 X X X X 1 X NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55KT 55KT 55KT 55KT 55KT 50KT NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) X(24)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37) X(37)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 34(35) X(35)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) X(30)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 26(38) X(38)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 31(38) X(38)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 32(49) X(49)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) X(13)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 14(34) X(34)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 2(17) X(17)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) X(12)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BERMUDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BERMUDA 50 52 7(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
BERMUDA 64 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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