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Post-Tropical Cyclone ANDREA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012013               
2100 UTC FRI JUN 07 2013                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       1       3       6      12      NA      NA      NA
TROP DEPRESSION 22      26      29      38      NA      NA      NA
TROPICAL STORM  76      66      59      46      NA      NA      NA
HURRICANE        2       5       6       4      NA      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        2       5       5       3      NA      NA      NA
HUR CAT 2        X       X       X       1      NA      NA      NA
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X      NA      NA      NA
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X      NA      NA      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X      NA      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   40KT    40KT    35KT    35KT    NA      NA      NA  
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  25(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  21(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   9(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)  10(10)   5(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)  40(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)  32(32)   3(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)  33(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   4( 4)  41(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X  29(29)  18(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   4( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   5( 5)  11(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X  10(10)   7(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X  13(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X  17(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X  43(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  1  57(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  1  22(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  1   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  3  26(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  8   5(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34 22   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
DOVER DE       34 15   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34 42   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34 48   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 
NORFOLK VA     34 62   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34 43   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34 90   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     
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