Tropical Storm PAUL
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TROPICAL STORM PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162012
0900 UTC SUN OCT 14 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.5W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 40SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 0SE 20SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.5W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 114.2W
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.1N 115.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.6N 115.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.1N 114.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 25.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 28.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 28.6N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 114.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
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FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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